News

Dan Hodges: Omicron is giving Boris a path to salvation – a path he must take


The Conservative Party spoke frankly, if flowering. ‘Adequate. It’s time to drop the curtain. This farce played.

The minister was more earthy. I’m tired of everything. I love my job. But this cannot continue. I’m seriously considering taking over everything.

The Westminster pendulum has swung. A new conventional wisdom is taking shape: After the biggest rebellion of his premiership, and the disastrous loss in North Shropshire, Boris is finished.

“He’s probably gone by May,” a House member said gleefully.

wrong. Boris is not finished. At least not yet. Two weeks ago, by-elections were held in Old Bexley and Sidcup. In the wake of Owen Patterson and Peppa Big Faragos, the Conservative Party was widely expected to suffer defeat. they did not.

The Westminster pendulum has swung. A new conventional wisdom is taking shape: After the biggest rebellion of his premiership, and the disastrous loss in North Shropshire, Boris is done

And talking to people it was clear why. Boris did his best. He took care of the country during Covid ‘The response I heard over and over again was on the doorstep.

There used to be a popular political mantra that politicians and their advisors would chant to each other – “It’s the economy, you idiot.”

She held that whatever other ephemeral events revolved around her, economics had always been the defining political issue. not now. This morning, it’s covid, stupid.

Omicron derailed Boris. Parties when the nation is in lockdown. Lies about the parties. Hence the national realization that the rush of the new alternative – and frantic new measures to neutralize its influence – could destroy Christmas for the second year in a row.

This is certainly what prompted those Tory MPs who marched their rebellious path through lobbyists last week. Someone told me, “If they think I’m going to vote for more restrictions, they’re angry.” ‘its enough. We said we would learn to live with Covid. Well, now is the time.

It is also what motivated a large proportion of rebellious Tory voters in Shropshire. And why the victorious Liberal Democrat leader Sir Ed Davy ordered his deputies to oppose Covid passports, even though he was suffering from the same disease.

But if the spreading virus has driven Boris into political purgatory, it also offers him a potential path to salvation. If he chooses to take it.

The first thing Boris has to do is prove that he sticks to his gun. Or rather, stick to his own roadmap. For all the drama in the House of Commons last week, the new measures announced by the government were very limited in scope.

Whitty himself warned that there are several things we don't know [about Omicron] But all the things we know are bad.  According to reports, in a Cabinet briefing, he warned of a total collapse of NHS services as Omicron begins to corrupt

Whitty himself warned that there are several things we don’t know [about Omicron] But all the things we know are bad. According to reports, in a Cabinet briefing, he warned of a total collapse of NHS services as Omicron begins to corrupt

As one official put it: “The majority of the rebels were objecting to the principle of libertarianism, rather than responding to the practical implications of the new measures.”

Covid passports for a limited number of places or evidence of a negative Covid test, and the wearing of masks, represent the extent of the restrictions. We are no longer in lockdown or anything like that.

The second thing he needs to do is cut himself off the threads of his expert apron. Chris Whitty has a cult-like following among those who advocate a more aggressive approach to treating the new breed. To be fair, it appears that the real motive behind it is a desire to protect public health.

But the stark contradictions in his and colleagues’ analysis of the epidemic can no longer be ignored. Last week, UK Health Security Chief Jenny Harris O’Micron described it as “perhaps the most significant threat” we have faced since the start of the pandemic.

Whitty himself warned that there are several things we don’t know [about Omicron] But all the things we know are bad. According to reports, in a Cabinet briefing, he warned of a total collapse of the NHS services as Omicron begins to corrupt.

However, a few hours later, Whitty told the House of Commons health committee that in the fight against Covid “every six months will be better than the last six… I think what will happen is that the risks will gradually decrease over time.”

How does this fit in with the idea that, two years into this crisis, we now face our greatest moment of danger?

Chris Whitty has a cult-like following among those who advocate a more aggressive approach to treating the new breed.  To be fair, the real motive behind it appears to be a desire to protect public health

Chris Whitty has a cult-like following among those who advocate a more aggressive approach to treating the new breed. To be fair, the real motive behind it appears to be a desire to protect public health

Witty’s defenders claim that he is rightly mistaken on the side of caution. The problem, however, was that this caution was now beginning to resemble the cry of the boy who had spotted the prolific wolf.

It’s only been three months since Delta warned, which he eerily called a “very bad variable,” that could trigger the government’s Plan B launch. Sage warned that Delta could see 7,000 hospitalizations a day by October.

But until the emergency in Omicron, Delta was actually stabilizing, and hospitalizations and deaths were declining. Boris’s decision to unlock was justified – in the face of a lot of “expert” advice.

But perhaps most disturbing is Whitty’s insistence that it is wrong to accept the body of evidence from South Africa that Omicron is milder.

The amount of immunity in South Africa to this wave – due to a previous delta wave and a vaccine – is much higher than it was in the last wave. So the fact that the hospitalization rate is low is not surprising.”

Until now, the claim that exposure to the virus — and a reliance on natural immunity — would protect against hospitalization has been the preserve of anti-vaccination advocates.

It is also inconsistent with the argument that London’s high infection and hospitalization rates are a result of the capital’s relatively low vaccination rates.

The truth is that at this point in the pandemic, it is no longer good enough for Boris and his ministers – or more relevantly, top health officials – to push for restrictions based on what we don’t know.

The health impact of canceled GP appointments, the dire economic fallout, and the massive mental health burden caused by Covid’s never-ending rollercoaster. They all require an evidence-based approach, not a “better safe than sorry” gamble.

There is one final reason why Boris must stick to the strategy that made him pledge in March to ease major Covid restrictions “once and for all”. There really is no other choice.

We, as a nation, cannot be drawn into an endless cycle of temporary freedom followed by a permanent shutdown. Enough now.

We have done our duty. We took the punches. We took our second punch. According to a government official I spoke to, by today 50 percent of us will have had our boosters. And that was the deal Britain struck.

With Boris and his ministers – and yes – his experts. We will handle closures. We had cuts. We will all come together to protect the NHS. Until the vaccine arrived. At that point, the NHS will be back to protect us.

Well, it is here now. And it’s not Plan A, it’s Plan A. If Boris stuck to it, reports of his political death would be premature. If he can show this time next year he has already safely steered the nation through the nightmare of Covid, the events of the past few days will be forgotten.

No one will care about the Downing Street Zoom contests, or the temporary return to masks at the supermarket.

But if he breaks his pledge and we are plunged into another lockdown, or the NHS collapses despite reinforced reinforcement, there will be nowhere to hide.

Because, for Boris, there really isn’t any Plan B. There is its own roadmap. Or there forget.



Source link

Related Articles

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Back to top button